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Treasury's Long Bond Auction Sees Strong Demand, Smooth Execution

Treasury's Long Bond Auction Sees Strong Demand, Smooth Execution  With the week shortened by an upcoming public holiday on Thursday and a highly anticipated statement from the Federal Reserve scheduled for the day prior, activity in the bond market has been significantly compressed. As a result, there was a notable auction held today around m...

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Strong Demand Boosts Confidence in Latest 10-Year Bond Auction

Strong Demand Boosts Confidence in Latest 10-Year Bond Auction  After a somewhat average result in the previous day's sale of shorter-term government debt, attention turned to the next offering with a sense of cautious optimism. The Treasury Department was set to offer a large amount of medium-term bonds, and market participants were watching ...

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Treasury Escalates Bond Buybacks Amid Fed Inaction and Market Stress

Treasury Escalates Bond Buybacks Amid Fed Inaction and Market Stress  In mid-April, during a period of financial turbulence sparked by events connected to former President Trump, concern swept through markets as bond yields surged. There was speculation that countries such as China and Japan might be offloading their holdings of United States ...

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Japan Cuts Bond Supply, Easing Global Yields and Boosting US Auction

Japan Cuts Bond Supply, Easing Global Yields and Boosting US Auction  After a prolonged stretch of turmoil in the bond markets that left investors uneasy, Japan has finally taken action. For weeks, the Japanese bond market had been experiencing severe stress, particularly in the sector dealing with ultra-long-term bonds. Yields were climbing t...

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US Stock Futures Drop as Treasury Yields Surge Toward Key Level

US Stock Futures Drop as Treasury Yields Surge Toward Key Level  US stock futures are slipping ahead of the market opening, continuing the decline seen after the recent government debt auction. This movement in the equity market is happening alongside a noticeable increase in US Treasury yields this morning. The uptick in yields follows the Se...

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US 10-Year Treasury Auction Signals Strong Demand and Market Confidence

US 10-Year Treasury Auction Signals Strong Demand and Market Confidence  Just a short time ago, there was widespread concern that US Treasury securities were losing their standing as the world's most secure investment option. Speculation swirled that they might be replaced by other government bonds from countries such as Japan or China, or eve...

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30-Year Bond Auction Ends Weak Amid Market Volatility

30-Year Bond Auction Ends Weak Amid Market Volatility  The final government bond auction of the week has now concluded. After a lackluster three-year note sale and a strong demand for the ten-year bond earlier in the week, today's reopening of the nearly thirty-year bond landed somewhere in the middle. The bond was issued with a yield of 4.623...

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Treasury's 3-Year Bond Auction Sees Strong Demand and Record Metrics

Treasury's 3-Year Bond Auction Sees Strong Demand and Record Metrics  The latest auction of three-year Treasury notes was a remarkable success, standing in stark contrast to the previous four underwhelming sales. The issuance of $58 billion in three-year securities yielded exceptional results, drawing strong demand from investors. The final yi...

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Bond Market Signals Inflation Rise After US Election

Bond Market Signals Inflation Rise After US Election  Following the US election, the bond market anticipates an uptick in inflation, with fixing swaps adjusting expectations for the Consumer Price Index (CPI) starting in the second quarter of next year. Since yields began climbing in mid-September, partly due to the growing likelihood of a Tru...

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Disastrous 20-Year Treasury Auction Signals Weak Investor Demand

Disastrous 20-Year Treasury Auction Signals Weak Investor Demand  Today's 20-year Treasury auction was a clear disappointment, signaling weak demand for long-term U.S. government debt. The $16 billion sale priced at a high yield of 4.680%, which was 3 basis points above the 4.650% "when issued" yield. This marked the third consecutive auction ...

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How a Trump 2025 Presidency Could Reshape Stock and Bond Markets

How a Trump 2025 Presidency Could Reshape Stock and Bond Markets  The potential impact of a Trump presidency on the markets has sparked considerable debate, with analysts speculating on how stocks and bonds might respond. Much depends on which policies ultimately materialize, as they could create both risks and opportunities. After the initial...

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10-Year Treasury Auction Yields Higher Amid Election, Market Volatility

10-Year Treasury Auction Yields Higher Amid Election, Market Volatility  Today's 10-year Treasury auction, which typically garners significant market attention and often stands as one of the biggest market events of the week, was somewhat overshadowed. In a typical quarter, the refunding auction is particularly significant. However, today, the...

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Warning Signs: US Debt Crisis Looms Amidst Global Economic Shifts

Warning Signs: US Debt Crisis Looms Amidst Global Economic Shifts  To gain insights into the trajectory of various economic indicators such as debt levels, interest rates, the strength of the US dollar, inflation, and market dynamics, it might be wiser to ignore the advice of traditional experts. Instead, turning to alternative perspectives co...

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Who are the predominant forces in the bond market ?

"Who are the predominant forces in the bond market?" Despite common belief linking entities like the Fed or foreign Central Banks such as the Bank of Japan or the People's Bank of China to this role, the truth differs significantly. In reality, the true heavyweights in the bond market might rekindle their interest in bonds by 2024. Over 70% of net ...

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